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Odds Of Making A Hole In One

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Odds Of Making A Hole In One

Since Hole In Ones are our business here at National Hole-In-One, we are often asked, “what are the odds of making one?” Some believe that the chances of getting a Hole In One are 10,000 to 1. Others claim that the odds are 100,000 to 1. Well, we’re here to settle the debate.

What are the actual odds of making a Hole In One on a par 3 hole for an amateur?
The odds are 12,500 to 1. For professional golfers, the odds drop to 2,500 to 1. Knowing this information allows us to figure out the chances of someone making a Hole In One during your tournament. If your event has 100 amateur participants and the golf course has four par 3 holes, the odds of a player making a hole in one are 1 in 32. The chance of a participant hitting an ace no longer seems impossible, does it?

Okay, but what about a professional golfer?
If you are hosting a professional tournament, the probability of a golfer making an ace increases. The average Tour event has 144 professional golfers. The odds of a golfer making a Hole In One during a day of golfing are 1 in 4.5. This means the chances of a golfer making a Hole In One during a four-day professional tournament are 1 in 1.
You may have heard stories of two players making an ace at the same event on the same hole. Realistically, the odds of this happening are slim. Statistically, there is a 32,000 to 1 chance of this occurring. Maybe you have also heard the tale of the professional golfer that hits three consecutive Hole In Ones during the same tournament. The chances of a golfer getting three consecutive aces on a par 3 course are 156,250,000 to 1. A golfer has a better chance of winning the lottery than accomplishing three consecutive Holes In One.

Either way, the odds and the event are what create true excitement. Imagine being there with a live audience- that is a memory that will last forever!

For more information about Hole In One coverage, call 855.814.5365 to speak with a Golf Excitement Specialist! 

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